I hope all of you who live in one of the Super Tuesday states got out to vote yesterday.
It looks to me like the race for the Republican presidential nominee is about over, with John McCain running away with it, barring a total collapse in the rest of the states.
The Democratic race is still a toss-up. While Hillary Clinton scored a big victory in California, it’s very interesting to look at exit polls to see what types of voters are supporting her versus who is supporting Barack Obama. You can break apart the voters in many different ways, as the exit polls do, but I’d like to focus on two main breakdowns: Ethnicity and Household Income.
According to the Fox News California exit poll:
Ethnicity
Whites: Clinton 46%, Obama 45%
Blacks: Obama 78%, Clinton 18%
Hispanics: Clinton 67%, Obama 32%
Asians: Clinton 71%, Obama 25%
The black vote is not a surprise, but I am surpised by Clinton’s huge margin of victory with both Hispanics and Asians. Anyone have any theories on this? Is it racial prejudice? The good news for Obama is that many of the upcoming states don’t have huge hispanic populations, except for Texas, at least that I’m aware of.
Household Income
Less than $50,000: Clinton 59%, Obama 35%
More than $100,000: Obama 52%, Clinton 45%
I can’t explain this one, other than the fact that the under $50k group feels that Hillary will offer more financial benefits to them. It seems like they have basically the same proposed programs though. It could just be a matter of many hispanics, who support Clinton by a wide margin, fall into the under $50k category. Also, tied to this is the fact that people that did not complete high school support Clinton by a 80%-19% margin.
You can view the entire Democratic exit poll here.
If you’re interested, the Republican exit poll is here.
I LOVED that last fact/sentence:
“Also, tied to this is the fact that people that did not complete high school support Clinton by a 80%-19% margin.”
This one hit 11 on the unintentionally funny scale! Got my meaning?
BCA: I must be dense. Explain please! (and I DID finish high school!)
It’s never a good sign [for the teller] when a joke has to be explained..
Well, not reading anything into my personal political affiliation, since I find serious humor in both parties, but in the most simplistic terms I laughed because it’s kind of like uneducated people vote for her, or they vote for her because they’re uneducated. It’s funnier when you use more sophomoric terms than ‘uneducated.’
And please, no hate-emails, I know and care for MANY people who didn’t graduate high school or college and who are brilliant people whom I respect greatly (in my family as well)…like I said it was unintentional humor.
BCA: Ok, I got ya. I was thinking it was something more than that.